It’s a huge week in the NFL as two AFC contenders, the Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos, go head-to-head in a game that could affect the regular-season standings.
Elsewhere, the Washington Commanders travel to Spain to face a confident Miami Dolphins side.
Sports News Blitz writer Sam Condy analyses NFL Week 11 and shares three of his favourite betting picks.
Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins
The Miami Dolphins produced an impressive 30-13 victory over Buffalo last weekend.
Now, they will hope to build on that performance against the Washington Commanders in Spain.
De’Von Achane had experienced a difficult spell before the Buffalo game. The running back had not scored a touchdown since Week 6.
However, everything changed against the Bills.
Achane rushed for a season-high 174 yards and scored two touchdowns. His performance played a major role in Miami’s emphatic victory.
As a result, the running back should enter this game with renewed confidence.
Washington have struggled in recent weeks. Therefore, Achane could again become a key player for Miami.
Suggested bet
Anytime touchdown scorer: De’Von Achane @ 4/7 with Sky Bet
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills
The Buffalo Bills suffered their third defeat of the season last week.
Their away form has also caused problems. Buffalo currently hold a 2-2 record on the road.
However, the Bills have performed far better at home.
They have recorded four home victories and suffered only one defeat.
James Cook has been one of the NFL’s standout rushers this season. He has already produced more than 900 rushing yards.
Furthermore, Tampa Bay’s rushing defence could give Cook another opportunity to shine.
The Bills will look to get back on track this week. Cook could play a major role in that effort.
Consequently, backing him to exceed his rushing-yard line looks like an interesting option.
Suggested bet
James Cook total rushing yards over 81.5 @ 5/6 with Paddy Power
Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos
The Denver Broncos have emerged as the new favourites to win the AFC West.
They narrowly edge the Kansas City Chiefs in the bookmakers’ current assessment.
Denver’s defence has impressed this season. However, the offence still has weaknesses that Kansas City will try to exploit.
The Chiefs’ overall record may not inspire complete confidence.
Nevertheless, their underlying numbers remain impressive.
Kansas City rank third overall in EPA per play. They also rank fifth in DVOA.
These numbers suggest the Chiefs have performed better than their record might indicate.
Meanwhile, Denver face one of their toughest tests of the season.
The Broncos will need their defence to maintain its high level. However, their offence must also find greater consistency.
Kansas City enter the contest as only slight favourites.
Therefore, the spread could offer value for bettors who believe the Chiefs can control the matchup.
Suggested bet
Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 @ 7/4 with AKBets
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